North Indian Ocean Area (malay Peninsula West To Coast Of Africa):
A. Tropical Cyclone Summary: None.
B. Tropical Disturbance Summary:
(1) An Area Of Convection Has Persisted Near 12.9n 64.8e,
Approximately 790 Nm East Of Cape Guardafui, Somalia. Recent
Animated Infrared Satellite Imagery Shows Fairly New Convection
Building Near An Area Of Increasingly Pronounced Low To Mid-level
Cyclonic Turning. The Low Level Circulation Center (llcc) Is
Partially Exposed To The East Of The Central Convection Due To Low
To Moderate Easterly Vertical Wind Shear. A 242140z Amsre Microwave
Image Also Indicates Formative Banding Building To The South Of The
Llcc. The System Lies To The South Of The Subtropical Ridge Axis
With Marginal Upper Level Diffluence. Sea Surface Temperatures And
Ocean Heat Content Are Optimal. Maximum Sustained Surface Winds Are
Estimated At 15 To 20 Knots. Minimum Sea Level Pressure Is Estimated
To Be Near 1006 Mb. Because Convection Has Yet To Fully Build And
Organize Around The Newly-defined Llcc The Potential For The
Development Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Within The Next 24
Hours Is Poor.
يعتبر الحاله فقيره ولم تتطور الى الان الى عاصفه استوائيه وهو الان عباره عن منخفض لحاله غير مستقره شديده وخلال الساعات القادمه سوف تتضح الصوره كامله
05-25-2008, 03:21 PM
رد: اضطراب في بحر العرب يشير الى تغيرات ايجابية
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