السلام عليكم ورحمة الله: عدنا لكم بعد غياب لتحديث موضوع ظاهرة النينا

[أبوسلطان]

بشارة ولله الحمد والمنة الأمور طيبة وفي تحسن بإذن الله

هذا أخر تقرير صدر اليوم من أهم مركز في العالم لتنبؤات المناخ

<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width=545 align=center><TBODY><TR><TD align=middle>EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) </TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle>DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION </TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle>issued by

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP

</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle>10 September 2009 </TD></TR><TR><TD></TD></TR><TR><TD>

ENSO Alert System Status: El Niño Advisory

</TD></TR><TR><TD></TD></TR><!-- <tr> <td align="center"> NOAA PRESS RELEASE </td> </tr> --><TR><TD>

Synopsis: El Niño is expected to strengthen and last through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2009-2010.

A majority of the model forecasts for the Niño-3.4 SST index (Fig. 5) suggest El Niño will reach at least moderate strength during the Northern Hemisphere fall (3-month Niño-3.4 SST index of +1.0<SUP>o</SUP>C or greater). Many model forecasts even suggest a strong El Niño (3-month Niño-3.4 SST index in excess of +1.5<SUP>o</SUP>C) during the fall and winter, but current observations and trends indicate that El Niño will most likely peak at moderate strength. Therefore, current conditions, trends, and model forecasts favor the continued development of a weak-to-moderate strength El Niño into the Northern Hemisphere fall 2009, with the likelihood of at least a moderate strength El Niño during the
winter 2009-10

.

سنوافيكم بالشرح إن شاء الله لاحقاً

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