[غازي العتيبي]

The Area Of Convection Previously Located Near 23.1n
67.5e Is Now Located Near 22.1n 66.2e, Approximately 170 Nm South-
Southwest Of Karachi, Pakistan. Recent Animated Multispectral
Satellite Imagery Shows Deep Convection Persisting On The Western
End Of An Elongated Low Level Circulation Center Also Evident In
A 101356z Ssmi Pass. The Disturbance Lies In A Region Of Moderate
Vertical Wind Shear And Favorable Westward Diffluence On The
Equatorward Side Of An Upper Level Ridge Axis. Maximum Sustained
Surface Winds Are Estimated At 20 To 25 Knots. Minimum Sea Level
Pressure Is Estimated To Be Near 1002 Mb. Because The Low Level
Circulation Is Elongated And Upper Level Support Is Marginal,
The Potential For The Development Of A Significant Tropical
Cyclone Within The Next 24 Hours Remains Poor
من المحتمل خلال ال24 ساعه القادمه ان تتحول الحاله الى عاصفه استوائيه وان ينخفض الضغط الى 1002 مليبار